July 9, 2026 at 07:39 PM
Matthew GrahamMortgage News Daily
Mortgage rates were rapidly approaching 10-month highs as of yesterday afternoon. They managed a friendly bounce today, but it was fairly small with the average lender dropping 0.03% to 6.5% for a top-tier 30yr fixed scenario.
One reason for caution is that the rate improvement looks to be dependent on oil price volatility after this week's resurgence in U.S./Iran tensions. Oil finally moved lower today. In general, lower oil prices imply lower inflation pressure, and lower rates. This isn't always the case, but there are times (like this week and many of the weeks since the start of the Iran war) where oil prices and rates are clearly correlated.
In the bigger picture, rates are drifting sideways in a narrow range near 10-month highs as they wait for more concrete inspiration.
Mortgage Rate Trends
Source: Freddie Mac & U.S. Treasury via FRED — Past 12 months
Disclosure: Any rates, payments, or loan terms referenced in this article are for
informational and educational purposes only and are not a loan offer, rate lock, or commitment to
lend. Actual rates, APR, and terms depend on credit profile, property type, loan amount, and other
factors. All loans subject to credit and property approval.
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